Showing posts with label divorce. Show all posts
Showing posts with label divorce. Show all posts

Lump of Labor Fallacy

Just learned this new term, Lump of Labor Fallacy.   Per wikipedia
"In economics, the lump of labour fallacy (or lump of jobs fallacy, fallacy of labour scarcity, or the zero-sum fallacy, from its ties to the zero-sum game) is the contention that the amount of work available to labourers is fixed. It is considered a fallacy by most economists,[1] who hold that the amount of work is not static. Another way to describe the fallacy is that it treats the demand for labour as an exogenous variable, when it is not."
The fallacy appeals to struggling lower and middle class workers, especially older displaced workers, who are finding it difficult to find jobs.   If fewer people are allowed to apply for the job I was rejected for, doesn't that improve my odds, and won't employing me decrease unemployment and boost the economy?

Generally the fallacy is applied when minimum wage or overtime policy is discussed.  Limit overtime, or cut the work week to 35 hours, and more work will spill over into the unemployment line.  Economists groan, as these policies limit the 20 percent who add 80 percent of value.  Try applying that to baseball - limit the number of innings the best pitchers are allowed to pitch, give them vacations in the middle of the season, and pitchers cut from the team are brought back onto the field, increasing employment...?  Pele, Zidane, Messi, Maradona, Beckham... please sit on the bench for awhile so that an American soccer player can earn some field time.

The same zero-sum argument can be applied - fallaciously - to global trade and immigration.   Cap the number of workers or ban the export of work over state and national lines, and please the second best and third best in the workforce.  Eliminate Dominicans from baseball, and the USA economy should slightly improve as 69 mile per hour pitchers are hired from minor leagues.

No.  It makes the league play worse, and makes the world economy worse.    The USA economy is the strongest indicator of a strong state economy, a state economy is the biggest predictor of a strong city economy, and the world economy is the best indicator for the USA economy.

The problem behind the "lump of labor" solution is that we live in a global economy.   There is no way to make the same rule across every team in the league.  The Red Sox might decide to hire only USA-born players, but they have to play against the Yankees.  If the USA cannot hire the best of India's software engineers, it still must play against India on the field.  The Red Sox not only hurt their own team, they actually give the Yankees better pool to recruit from.

Chick Fil A: Divorce Scripture Analogy


Much less important than Russia's arrest of Pussy Riot is the USA's chicken sandwich controversy.

This article from a New Orleans paper makes the case that the southern support of Chick-Fil-A is as much about perceived northern condescension than it is about opposition to gays.  I can certainly sync.

What I feel about gay marriage is about as important as what I feel about divorce.   I remember, growing up in the south, that we were taught a hard line about divorce - as hard a line as about abortion or gay marriage today.  The red letter scripture (Jesus own words) said that he who divorceth his wife commits adultery.

A decade later, several aunts and uncle marriages ended in divorce.  I know that it was difficult for my born again grandfather.  They were forced to accept the divorce, because it was a done deal.   If divorce had "not been recognized" by the USA Christian Government, I think they understood that would not have helped things.

Today divorce is commonplace.  I'm very devoutly married, and consider myself happy and lucky. I hope my kids grow up and find happy, lifelong marriages. But other peoples divorces don't shake my faith, even if I can see sad consequences of society's growing acceptance of divorce (especially compared to what I was led to believe as a child, that almost no one ever got divorced, it was unnatural).  Divorce happened in places like New York City and Hollywood, far away from our families.  Now it's common everywhere.

Is divorce contagious?  Probably more so than homosexuality.